Hope dims on Naira imminent recovery, weakens further

By Gbenga Adedayo

Hope that the Nigerian Naira may gain strength against the dollar soon has been dashed as Minister of Finance, Zainab Ahmed said the currency will weaken further over time even after showing signs of recovering from a recent record low.

Bloomberg had reported that the naira gained 0.0367% to 435.84 on the spot market as of 5:30 p.m. in Lagos on Thursday, after recovering from a record low of 436 naira to the greenback on Wednesday.

Nigeria’s currency is likely to weaken even further, Minister of Finance Zainab Ahmed, said in an interview from Egypt’s new administrative capital. “It will happen with time,” she said, without giving any time line.

Ahmed also ruled out Nigeria taking on an International Monetary Fund program to address the country’s fiscal challenges, which include plummeting revenues and rising debt service costs.

Africa’s largest economy maintains multiple exchange rates dominated by a tightly controlled official rate and the unauthorized parallel rate at which many Nigerian get dollars, which is roughly 60% weaker. The World Bank and IMF have urged Nigeria to unify its rates.

The weakening of the official rate “looks more like a gradual and partial convergence to higher effective exchange rate levels as the central bank already sells USD to corporates at up to 465 naira on the spot market and auctions for small firms,” said Samir Gadio, head of Africa Strategy at Standard Chartered Bank.

Gadio added that it was unlikely the outgoing government would adjust its official rate ahead of February’s presidential election.

—Bloomberg